The latest report of the Bank of Slovenia projects GDP growth of 2 percent in 2026. This represents a modest recovery after 2025. According to the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, the economy grew by 1.2 percent in 2025, and this growth was fuelled mostly by government spending and private consumption. This year, growth will again be driven by government investments supported by EU funds and by private consumption boosted by increased wages. 

The global trade credit insurer Allianz Trade projects a slightly higher growth rate of 2.8 percent this year, fuelled by infrastructure investment, improved external demand, and recovering private consumption. Inflation is expected to stabilize around 2 percent. Allianz Trade’s Country Risk Atlas comments ahead of the March 2026 parliamentary elections that political risks remain modest due to Slovenia’s stable democratic institutions, and that EU commitments ensure policy continuity and creditworthiness.